For a long time, I’ve been a fan of the scalping trading style. It’s one of the most reasonable ones in my book, because it’s based on the simple premise of getting in and getting out as quick as possible, with little thought to what the market will be doing in a few days from now. There are actually two different sides to scalping, or in my mind two different basic definitions of scalping, with only one being the one I want to focus on with this post (I’ll tell you which one that is as we go along). Again, the basic principle that I think of that makes scalping work is that you don’t have to be right for a very long time…you can be right for only just a couple of minutes and make money scalping. But man, if you try to put on a trade for the long haul, as in weeks or months, you’re really going to run into a case where you’re going to have to be right for a much more sustained amount of time. I’m telling you, it’s much easier for me to predict what the market may do within the next 15 minutes as it is for me to predict what it will do in the next 15 days. With a smaller time frame perspective, the trade just seems a little more manageable to me. Of course, if all of us could predict the future, we would have bought Gold back in 2007 when it was only at about $500.00 an ounce. And even back then, that was considered a breakthrough price. But human nature being what it is, and the nature of the markets being what they are, nobody really could have known how far Gold was going to go up—as of this writing, it’s over $1,000.00 an ounce. Unreal. That’s a whole other story…I was trading Gold options in 2007, and believe me, there are times now where I look back and think about totally revising my trading philosophy based on what has happened. But alas, it’s much better to formulate and stick with a plan than it is to keep bouncing back and forth and “chasing a moving bus”, trying to get in on a market move that has already taken off. There are ways to do it, if you are a somewhat skilled trader, but please don’t try to chase a market if you’re a novice trader. You will experience what’s known as being “whipsawed”, which is just as bad as it sounds. You’ll get tossed around the markets like a balloon at a 3-year-old’s birthday party. Again, it’s better to use a disciplined trading approach, based on recognizable chart patterns, than to try that crap.
But on to the business of scalping. And man, let me tell you, it is a business. The first definition of scalping—the one that I’m NOT going to use for this post—is that of taking advantage of disparities between the bid and ask prices on a stock, or futures contract, or forex currency pair. This is a very common practice in the trading world, performed by traders and market makers the world over. Basically, the bid price is the give-it-to-me-right-now price that people are willing to buy the stock for (I’m using stocks just for the ease of the example, but it applies to futures and forex as well). The ask price is the give-it-to-me-right-now price that people are willing to sell their stock for. When there are discrepancies between these two prices (which most of the time there are), you have what’s known as a spread. The spread is where market makers make their money, and where they’re able to “scalp” profits from trades. The whole business of scalping wouldn’t do nearly as well as it could if it were not for people willing to use market orders to enter a position—this is the “give-it-to-me-right-now” price that I was referring to earlier. The type of scalping I’m talking about is of a slightly different order, but based upon the same basic thing. Basically, my version or definition of scalping (and I may be the only one who understands or accepts my definition) is when you buy (for example in the case of futures contracts) several futures contracts, wait for the price to rise the slightest little bit to where it’s showing a small amount of profitability on a per-contract basis, and then immediately sell as soon as the per-contract position becomes profitable. This may seem like a herky-jerky way to do things, but believe me, there’s a method to the madness. Let’s use Wheat for an example with this—as you can tell, I love trading the Grains. Wheat has a tick value of $50.00, meaning if Wheat goes from 300.00 to 301.00, the per-contract value has increased by fifty bucks. Now think about it: The average online commodity broker will charge roughly $25.00 round turn for commissions and fees, and less if you trade a whole lot of contracts on a monthly basis. Many brokers provide a commission scale that’s based on the amount of trading activity you crank out on a monthly basis. If you’re considered to be an “active trader” by your brokerage (and most day traders are), that usually means you trade hundreds of contracts/shares/currency pairs per month, and when this happens, you are usually qualified to receive lower commissions, sort of like a volume discount. Now back to my Wheat example…let’s say you buy 10 contracts of Wheat at 300.00, and in just a few minutes the price fluctuates a little, but ends up popping over 302.00. You place an order to exit your position with an absolute limit exit price of 301.00. You end up exiting at 301.00, with a gross profit of $50.00 per contract. Think about it: You just made $50.00 per contract, and since you have 10 contracts, it only took one small uptick to make $500.00. Now take away an average of $25.00 commissions and fees per contract, and you’re left with $250.00 profit (give or take; again, this could greatly vary based on whether or not your broker offers discounted commissions). Not bad for a few minutes worth of work. Even if you only did this every day, you’re looking at about $7,000 a month. For some people, that’s a great supplemental income; for many, it would even replace their current full-time income. This, my friends is the scalping trading method. Okay, I have written way more than I planned on writing, and I’m ready to drink some chocolate milk, so I’m signing off. Later.
Showing posts with label day trading investment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label day trading investment. Show all posts
12/06/2009
11/15/2009
Day Trading Strategies
Okay, so now it’s time to dive into the “meat” of some common but yet effective day trading strategies. As you well know, the price chart is the king of all tools to help you discover which stocks are profitable for day trading, and which ones to stay away from. Now, I know that right now one of the main questions in your head is probably “Well, among the thousands of stocks that are available to day trade, where do I even start?” I would recommend picking stocks that have lots of daily trading volume. By “lots” I mean stocks that trade in the tens of millions of shares every day. This way, liquidity concerns are alleviated right off the bat. By “liquidity”, I mean how likely it will be that you can enter and exit the market with reasonable ease. This is a must for the day trader, due to the very nature of the day trading methodology. If you can’t enter and exit a market in seconds, it’s going to be very difficult to maintain the control over your position necessary to generate profits. You must, must, MUST have high liquidity when day trading; that’s the very nature of the game, so to speak. One of the things that high liquidity will do for you is give you a much better chance of avoiding slippage, which is basically when your entry (or exit) order gets filled at an undesirable price…this usually means that you get filled at a couple of points or “ticks” higher than you’d like on your buy orders, and you get filled at a couple of points lower that you’d like on your sell orders. Slippage sucks…I have witnessed it first-hand, and it’s a major factor especially when you use market orders, which I normally advise against. Market orders are basically orders that are supposed to be filled at the prevailing market price, or at the current price that the market is trading at. But, of course, you’re living in a fool’s paradise if you think that’s what actually happens. There are many stories of floor traders taking advantage of market orders by front-running and doing other types of “trickery” to make quick profits off price disparities in the orders they’re filling. So even with day trading, unless you are wildly confident, I would still recommend using limit orders, because you don’t want to find out what price you’ve entered the market only after you are in the position; you may find that it’s several points above (or below, depending on whether you’re long or short) your intended entry price. Bottom line to what I’m saying? USE LIMIT ORDERS. Limit orders basically guarantee that you’ll enter the market at your own predetermined price, and not be at the mercy of the floor brokers. This could mean, however, that you may not get filled at all; this is part of the price you’ll have to pay in order to maintain more control over your trading position. With the type of day trading I do, this setup works perfectly, and limit orders have never really been a problem, even in relatively fast-moving markets. I’m not the “millisecond” day trader; I’m more of a relatively slow day trader, meaning I can enter a position in the morning and not sell until the afternoon. I’ve done this many times, and made money trading this way many times. It works for me, but I don’t expect it to be THE way for any other person. We all have to experiment, identify our own trading temperament, and then develop our day trading strategies around our trading personality. This is the best way to keep yourself on the winning side of the markets, because now your trading style is consistent with your overall personality and risk tolerance. There really is no other way to go. Okay, gonna stop for now, but I’ll be picking up again in a few…er…well, we’ll see. LOL!!!
11/09/2009
Day Trading Investing
Man, I’m fired up. I just watched some PBS special on the stock market crash of 1929, and how many of Wall Street’s most elite traders were able to profit to levels of insanity during that time. One in particular was Jesse Livermore, who is famous in trading circles because he was a chart reader and “technical analyzer” so to speak. He may have unwittingly been the father of day trading investing, because he made over $100 million virtually in one day during the 1929 crash. Again, for those people who truly understand how the market works, if a market crashes, it’s not necessarily a bad thing. If you’re ever short (i.e., entered the market on the short side) during a market crash, you’re laughing all the way to the bank. If you had shorted the Dow Jones Industrial Average index (ticker: DJIA) from November of 2007 to March of 2009, you would have seen it lose literally half its value, and hardly would have even had a losing day, because it just kept trending lower and lower during that period. Yes, this type of gradual (yet huge) downtrend does not qualify necessarily as a “crash”, because of the prolonged time frame, yet the principle is still there…a market going down can be a beautiful thing, in the eyes of the right “beholder”. But on to the topic of day trading investing. As I said in my last post, I’ve pretty much given up on trying to bring this information across in any kind of really organized fashion; you’re just going to have to depend on the old mantra—“More is caught than taught.” After watching that special, it lit a fire under my tail all over again as far as how limitless the stock market really is. And not even the stock market alone, but also the commodity markets and forex markets as well. You really have the right to “set your own salary”, so to speak. There’s nobody telling you how many shares you can trade or how much money you’re allowed to make (unless, of course, the government keeps buying up all of the financial institutions and so forth). There really is no upper limit…if that doesn’t inspire you, you may be in the wrong business. But as it pertains to day trading, although the sky is literally the limit, you won’t get past the rooftop without a well-thought-out trading strategy. This is why understanding chart patterns is such a vital thing. Chart patterns are what’s going to give you your “cues” as to when to enter & exit a market. Some people believe that chart reading is borderlining on some silly practice like astrology or something similar, but the truth is that nothing else can really be more indicative of a stock’s actual value than its price chart. The reason for this is that the numbers simply cannot lie. Fundamental news reports can lie. Company accountants can lie about the company’s earnings and revenues by redefining what an “asset” and what a “liability” are. But the one thing that always displays the cold, hard truth is the price chart. The price chart is what it is. All the flurry of the news and reports and fundamental data is great, but if you really want to know whether a stock, commodity, or currency is on the bargain counter, you have to go to the price chart to find that data. The price chart provides the only means by which you can see historical price data, to find out if the stock/commodity/currency pair is in its low or high range, in comparison to the lows and highs of the past. One of the best charting sites out there is BigCharts.com, a favorite staple of mine. BigCharts is mainly for stocks, but practically every online brokerage worth its salt will give you access to price charts with an active trading account. By the way, if you have an account with an online brokerage and they’re charging you extra just to look at the price charts, you need to change brokers fast. There are plenty out there to choose from to keep you from having to be stuck with some cheapo brokerage that doesn’t provide good, quality tools to its traders free of charge. This is a “hot-button” issue with me, as you can tell. I just believe that if you’re giving them tons of your money (in the form of commissions and fees) by being a frequent day trader, they ought to at least give you a reasonable deal on the essential trading tools you need to keep trading. Another great online broker that I have an account with is OptionsXpress. They are consistently rated as one of the top online options brokerages out there. I know that this blog doesn’t necessarily focus on day trading options in particular, but OptionsXpress also provides access to trading futures and regular stocks. Sorry for getting off on these tangents, but I felt it was important to mention the places that you can go to get good, quality price charts without a lot of hoops to jump through. But in the world of day trading investing, in my mind at least, the price chart is king, and any type of conclusions I’m going to draw about which market I’m going to be in are going to come from my study of the price charts. I don’t necessarily pick a market or a particular security or currency and then find out what I want to do from there; I look for which one has the most promising price chart and then begin planning my trading from that point. A true chartist understands that it really doesn’t matter which particular stock or whatever you choose to trade; all that really matters is what those little bars are telling you on the price chart. More on this later…I’m out for right now.
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